Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

H2O America (HTO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$198.64 - $630.42$590.80
Multi-Stage$85.08 - $93.03$88.98
Blended Fair Value$339.89
Current Price$48.70
Upside597.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.84%13.13%1.511.391.261.161.060.990.670.620.480.46
YoY Growth--8.82%9.92%8.58%9.94%6.96%47.93%8.17%28.82%4.24%4.66%
Dividend Yield--2.77%2.49%1.66%1.67%1.68%1.71%1.10%1.20%1.00%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)109.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.8613.668.20
Cash Retained (M)52.3752.3752.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.86-13.66-8.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.5138.7144.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.4734.4734.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.121.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.651.651.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.121.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.542.772.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$198.64$590.80$630.42
Upside / Downside307.89%1,113.14%1,194.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)109.28116.38123.95132.00140.58149.72154.21
Payout Ratio52.08%59.66%67.25%74.83%82.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.9169.4483.3598.78115.86134.75142.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)64.3864.9965.60
Year 2 PV (M)71.6473.0174.39
Year 3 PV (M)78.7280.9883.28
Year 4 PV (M)85.6188.9092.28
Year 5 PV (M)92.3196.76101.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,540.162,662.852,790.24
Equity Value (M)2,932.813,067.493,207.18
Shares Outstanding (M)34.4734.4734.47
Fair Value$85.08$88.98$93.03
Upside / Downside74.69%82.71%91.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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