Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$118.59 - $605.59$212.78
Multi-Stage$70.32 - $76.94$73.57
Blended Fair Value$143.17
Current Price$40.94
Upside249.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.98%0.00%0.450.210.360.320.290.270.190.000.000.00
YoY Growth--116.10%-43.06%14.25%8.65%10.24%43.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.31%0.79%1.68%1.44%1.05%1.96%0.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.497.814.68
Cash Retained (M)54.6054.6054.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.49-7.81-4.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.1146.7949.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.1017.1017.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.462.742.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.462.742.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.923.203.38
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$118.59$212.78$605.59
Upside / Downside189.66%419.73%1,379.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.4566.5170.8375.4380.3485.5688.13
Payout Ratio12.57%28.06%43.54%59.03%74.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.8518.6630.8444.5359.8677.0081.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.1017.2617.42
Year 2 PV (M)25.9026.3926.89
Year 3 PV (M)34.2735.2536.25
Year 4 PV (M)42.2143.8445.51
Year 5 PV (M)49.7652.1754.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,032.961,082.851,134.66
Equity Value (M)1,202.201,257.761,315.39
Shares Outstanding (M)17.1017.1017.10
Fair Value$70.32$73.57$76.94
Upside / Downside71.77%79.70%87.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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