Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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HP Inc. (HPQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.06 - $24.11$20.55
Multi-Stage$27.68 - $30.36$28.99
Blended Fair Value$24.77
Current Price$27.67
Upside-10.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.76%-1.38%1.141.131.091.090.981.051.020.940.940.90
YoY Growth--1.21%3.66%0.00%10.55%-5.92%2.78%7.90%0.56%4.20%-31.36%
Dividend Yield--4.12%3.47%3.79%3.73%2.68%4.27%4.77%4.28%4.02%5.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,529.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,088.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,441.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)505.80316.13189.68
Cash Retained (M)1,441.001,441.001,441.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-505.80-316.13-189.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)935.201,124.881,251.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)953.75953.75953.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.181.31
LTM Dividend per Share1.141.141.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.181.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.122.322.45
WACC / Discount Rate9.65%9.65%9.65%
Growth Rate-2.48%-1.48%-0.48%
Fair Value$17.06$20.55$24.11
Upside / Downside-38.34%-25.75%-12.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,529.002,491.602,454.762,418.452,382.692,347.452,417.88
Payout Ratio43.02%52.42%61.81%71.21%80.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,088.001,306.021,517.351,722.141,920.552,112.712,236.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.65%9.65%9.65%
Growth Rate-2.48%-1.48%-0.48%
Year 1 PV (M)1,179.021,191.111,203.20
Year 2 PV (M)1,236.601,262.091,287.84
Year 3 PV (M)1,267.021,306.401,346.58
Year 4 PV (M)1,275.591,328.721,383.50
Year 5 PV (M)1,266.771,333.061,402.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,174.0621,229.8422,329.36
Equity Value (M)26,399.0627,651.2228,952.58
Shares Outstanding (M)953.75953.75953.75
Fair Value$27.68$28.99$30.36
Upside / Downside0.03%4.78%9.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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