Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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The Hartford Dividend and Growth Fund Class C (HDGCX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.71 - $87.16$69.46
Multi-Stage$77.83 - $85.43$81.55
Blended Fair Value$75.51
Current Price$33.37
Upside126.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%9.43%1.061.020.980.930.880.000.660.650.610.55
YoY Growth--4.17%4.15%5.86%5.29%0.00%-100.00%2.10%5.70%12.06%26.46%
Dividend Yield--3.19%3.64%3.04%3.18%4.47%0.00%2.77%2.63%2.79%2.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,701.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)556.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,145.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)540.20337.63202.58
Cash Retained (M)2,145.002,145.002,145.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-540.20-337.63-202.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,604.801,807.381,942.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)516.18516.18516.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.113.503.76
LTM Dividend per Share1.081.081.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.113.503.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.194.584.84
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate0.60%1.60%2.60%
Fair Value$54.71$69.46$87.16
Upside / Downside63.95%108.14%161.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,701.002,744.122,787.932,832.452,877.672,923.613,011.32
Payout Ratio20.58%34.47%48.35%62.23%76.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)556.00945.841,347.991,762.742,190.392,631.252,785.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate0.60%1.60%2.60%
Year 1 PV (M)864.81873.40882.00
Year 2 PV (M)1,126.911,149.421,172.16
Year 3 PV (M)1,347.381,387.961,429.35
Year 4 PV (M)1,530.821,592.601,656.23
Year 5 PV (M)1,681.371,766.621,855.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,622.2235,326.9237,100.07
Equity Value (M)40,173.5042,096.9344,095.11
Shares Outstanding (M)516.18516.18516.18
Fair Value$77.83$81.55$85.43
Upside / Downside133.23%144.40%156.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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