Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HORNBACH Holding AG & Co. KGaA (HBH.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Home ImprovementSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$131.01 - $231.50$173.58
Multi-Stage$127.54 - $139.43$133.38
Blended Fair Value$153.48
Current Price$88.90
Upside72.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.71%8.86%2.502.412.412.011.501.501.831.831.831.07
YoY Growth--4.00%-0.04%20.00%33.33%0.00%-17.58%0.00%0.00%70.52%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.82%3.11%3.64%1.71%1.66%2.30%4.12%2.78%2.54%1.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)111.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.2618.9111.35
Cash Retained (M)111.36111.36111.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.26-18.91-11.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)81.1192.45100.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.9515.9515.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.095.806.27
LTM Dividend per Share2.502.502.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.095.806.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.598.308.77
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate3.67%4.67%5.67%
Fair Value$131.01$173.58$231.50
Upside / Downside47.37%95.25%160.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.28158.34165.74173.48181.58190.06195.76
Payout Ratio26.39%39.11%51.83%64.55%77.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.9261.9385.91111.99140.32171.05181.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate3.67%4.67%5.67%
Year 1 PV (M)55.9256.4657.00
Year 2 PV (M)70.0671.4272.79
Year 3 PV (M)82.4884.8987.34
Year 4 PV (M)93.3396.98100.74
Year 5 PV (M)102.74107.79113.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,629.341,709.461,792.69
Equity Value (M)2,033.872,127.002,223.61
Shares Outstanding (M)15.9515.9515.95
Fair Value$127.54$133.38$139.43
Upside / Downside43.46%50.03%56.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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