Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Sector

Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (HBB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.91 - $31.81$26.02
Multi-Stage$33.02 - $36.28$34.62
Blended Fair Value$30.32
Current Price$14.37
Upside111.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.35%0.00%0.460.450.420.400.370.360.342.873.081.10
YoY Growth--3.49%5.19%5.74%8.21%4.16%4.14%-88.11%-6.76%180.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.38%1.80%4.14%3.45%2.04%3.74%1.63%13.54%9.94%3.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.383.992.39
Cash Retained (M)25.5225.5225.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.38-3.99-2.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.1421.5323.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.6313.6313.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.401.581.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.401.581.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.872.052.17
WACC / Discount Rate8.27%8.27%8.27%
Growth Rate-0.64%0.36%1.36%
Fair Value$20.91$26.02$31.81
Upside / Downside45.51%81.10%121.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.9132.0332.1432.2632.3832.5033.47
Payout Ratio20.02%34.01%48.01%62.01%76.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.3910.8915.4320.0024.6129.2530.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.27%8.27%8.27%
Growth Rate-0.64%0.36%1.36%
Year 1 PV (M)9.9610.0610.16
Year 2 PV (M)12.9013.1713.43
Year 3 PV (M)15.3015.7616.24
Year 4 PV (M)17.2117.9118.64
Year 5 PV (M)18.7019.6620.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)375.97395.28415.37
Equity Value (M)450.05471.84494.49
Shares Outstanding (M)13.6313.6313.63
Fair Value$33.02$34.62$36.28
Upside / Downside129.79%140.92%152.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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