Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Green Cross Health Limited (GXH.NZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.58 - $2.33$1.94
Multi-Stage$3.86 - $4.25$4.05
Blended Fair Value$3.00
Current Price$0.86
Upside248.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-2.07%2.64%0.060.340.070.030.010.070.070.040.040.16
YoY Growth---81.50%385.41%133.50%192.47%-85.31%-0.06%86.88%-16.74%-72.19%233.29%
Dividend Yield--8.38%33.64%5.18%2.25%1.00%6.12%7.05%2.33%2.02%6.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.923.702.22
Cash Retained (M)15.5415.5415.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.92-3.70-2.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.6211.8413.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)143.91143.91143.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate-3.44%-2.44%-1.44%
Fair Value$1.58$1.94$2.33
Upside / Downside83.75%125.49%170.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29.5928.8628.1627.4726.8026.1426.93
Payout Ratio47.49%55.99%64.49%72.99%81.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0516.1618.1620.0521.8423.5324.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate-3.44%-2.44%-1.44%
Year 1 PV (M)15.0015.1615.31
Year 2 PV (M)15.6515.9816.31
Year 3 PV (M)16.0516.5517.06
Year 4 PV (M)16.2316.9117.61
Year 5 PV (M)16.2317.0917.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)476.50501.69527.94
Equity Value (M)555.66583.38612.22
Shares Outstanding (M)143.91143.91143.91
Fair Value$3.86$4.05$4.25
Upside / Downside348.97%371.36%394.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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