Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Global Ship Lease, Inc. (GSL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$956.36 - $2,270.36$2,127.66
Multi-Stage$329.44 - $360.83$344.85
Blended Fair Value$1,236.26
Current Price$26.31
Upside4,598.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.641.501.420.780.000.000.000.000.000.27
YoY Growth--9.74%5.45%80.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.18%7.35%7.57%2.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)406.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)334.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.2850.8030.48
Cash Retained (M)334.41334.41334.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.28-50.80-30.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)253.13283.61303.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.6035.6035.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.117.978.54
LTM Dividend per Share2.022.022.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.117.978.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.139.9910.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$956.36$2,127.66$2,270.36
Upside / Downside3,534.96%7,986.90%8,529.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)406.41432.83460.96490.93522.84556.82573.53
Payout Ratio17.72%32.17%46.63%61.09%75.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.00139.26214.95299.89394.97501.14530.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)129.52130.75131.98
Year 2 PV (M)185.94189.48193.06
Year 3 PV (M)241.29248.21255.27
Year 4 PV (M)295.57306.93318.62
Year 5 PV (M)348.80365.64383.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,527.2211,035.6911,563.62
Equity Value (M)11,728.3412,276.7112,845.69
Shares Outstanding (M)35.6035.6035.60
Fair Value$329.44$344.85$360.83
Upside / Downside1,152.17%1,210.71%1,271.46%

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