Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Global Power Synergy Public Company Limited (GPSC-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$197.07 - $343.60$321.97
Multi-Stage$81.72 - $89.62$85.60
Blended Fair Value$203.79
Current Price$29.25
Upside596.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.93%36.42%0.890.601.201.501.300.930.660.610.560.40
YoY Growth--48.33%-50.00%-20.00%15.38%39.39%40.41%8.70%9.52%40.47%896.67%
Dividend Yield--3.32%1.14%1.76%2.07%1.69%1.63%1.28%0.90%1.85%1.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,929.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,537.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,391.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)985.82616.14369.68
Cash Retained (M)2,391.362,391.362,391.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-985.82-616.14-369.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,405.541,775.222,021.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,823.522,823.522,823.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.630.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.630.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.61
WACC / Discount Rate5.13%5.13%5.13%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Fair Value$197.07$321.97$343.60
Upside / Downside573.74%1,000.76%1,074.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,929.125,194.845,474.885,770.026,081.076,408.896,601.15
Payout Ratio51.48%59.19%66.89%74.59%82.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,537.763,074.723,662.204,304.095,004.545,768.006,106.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.13%5.13%5.13%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Year 1 PV (M)2,896.922,924.672,952.42
Year 2 PV (M)3,250.903,313.483,376.66
Year 3 PV (M)3,599.753,704.203,810.64
Year 4 PV (M)3,943.544,096.834,254.54
Year 5 PV (M)4,282.304,491.384,708.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)212,772.69223,160.98233,951.13
Equity Value (M)230,746.09241,691.53253,053.93
Shares Outstanding (M)2,823.522,823.522,823.52
Fair Value$81.72$85.60$89.62
Upside / Downside179.39%192.65%206.41%

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