Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Grupo Profuturo, S.A.B. de C.V. (GPROFUT.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$500.91 - $2,525.11$1,038.49
Multi-Stage$281.19 - $307.19$293.95
Blended Fair Value$666.22
Current Price$118.49
Upside462.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.28%0.00%6.736.378.728.375.034.324.034.024.194.19
YoY Growth--5.70%-26.94%4.10%66.41%16.52%7.11%0.30%-4.10%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.52%6.43%10.76%11.09%7.63%7.85%4.98%5.62%6.65%8.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,790.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,095.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,694.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)758.05473.78284.27
Cash Retained (M)1,694.981,694.981,694.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-758.05-473.78-284.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)936.941,221.201,410.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)298.52298.52298.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.144.094.73
LTM Dividend per Share7.027.027.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.144.094.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.1611.1111.74
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$500.91$1,038.49$2,525.11
Upside / Downside322.75%776.44%2,031.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,790.234,036.604,298.984,578.414,876.015,192.955,348.74
Payout Ratio55.28%62.22%69.17%76.11%83.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,095.252,511.742,973.523,484.734,049.824,673.654,947.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,311.572,333.482,355.39
Year 2 PV (M)2,518.462,566.432,614.85
Year 3 PV (M)2,716.212,794.192,873.64
Year 4 PV (M)2,905.113,016.833,131.75
Year 5 PV (M)3,085.433,234.463,389.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)70,403.6673,804.1877,334.85
Equity Value (M)83,940.4487,749.5791,699.67
Shares Outstanding (M)298.52298.52298.52
Fair Value$281.19$293.95$307.19
Upside / Downside137.31%148.08%159.25%

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