Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$192.31 - $411.71$273.92
Multi-Stage$138.10 - $150.94$144.40
Blended Fair Value$209.16
Current Price$243.10
Upside-13.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.600.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)124,251.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,956.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)114,295.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24,850.2015,531.389,318.83
Cash Retained (M)114,295.00114,295.00114,295.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-24,850.20-15,531.38-9,318.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)89,444.8098,763.63104,976.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,260.0012,260.0012,260.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.308.068.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.810.810.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.308.068.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.118.879.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$192.31$273.92$411.71
Upside / Downside-20.89%12.68%69.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)124,251.00132,327.32140,928.59150,088.95159,844.73170,234.64175,341.68
Payout Ratio8.01%24.41%40.81%57.21%73.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,956.0032,301.4357,509.7085,858.57117,649.82153,211.17162,191.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29,103.0329,378.8929,654.75
Year 2 PV (M)46,684.6547,573.8648,471.46
Year 3 PV (M)62,796.1764,598.8266,435.65
Year 4 PV (M)77,527.7680,509.2683,575.94
Year 5 PV (M)90,964.7195,358.3499,920.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,386,005.821,452,950.421,522,457.15
Equity Value (M)1,693,082.141,770,369.591,850,515.06
Shares Outstanding (M)12,260.0012,260.0012,260.00
Fair Value$138.10$144.40$150.94
Upside / Downside-43.19%-40.60%-37.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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