Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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The Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust (GDV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.73 - $75.06$63.05
Multi-Stage$88.00 - $96.62$92.23
Blended Fair Value$77.64
Current Price$26.01
Upside198.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.301.421.391.400.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---8.26%1.93%-0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.40%6.59%6.76%5.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)631.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)252.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)379.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126.3778.9847.39
Cash Retained (M)379.55379.55379.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-126.37-78.98-47.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)253.17300.56332.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)89.4589.4589.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.833.363.71
LTM Dividend per Share2.822.822.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.833.363.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.656.186.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$51.73$63.05$75.06
Upside / Downside98.89%142.40%188.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)631.87625.55619.29613.10606.97600.90618.93
Payout Ratio39.93%49.95%59.96%69.97%79.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)252.32312.44371.32429.00485.49540.81572.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)284.51287.41290.32
Year 2 PV (M)307.91314.23320.61
Year 3 PV (M)323.95333.97344.19
Year 4 PV (M)333.84347.67361.93
Year 5 PV (M)338.64356.27374.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,282.606,609.756,950.39
Equity Value (M)7,871.458,249.308,642.07
Shares Outstanding (M)89.4589.4589.45
Fair Value$88.00$92.23$96.62
Upside / Downside238.34%254.58%271.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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