Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Frasers Property Thailand Industrial Freehold & Leasehold REIT (FTREIT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.27 - $179.11$138.07
Multi-Stage$25.79 - $28.19$26.97
Blended Fair Value$82.52
Current Price$9.05
Upside811.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.02%0.00%0.740.700.640.620.560.520.300.120.100.03
YoY Growth--5.39%8.56%4.43%9.33%7.47%74.79%154.29%13.01%214.23%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.14%6.65%6.25%4.89%4.82%3.34%2.60%1.10%1.10%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,970.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,462.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)507.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)594.07371.29222.78
Cash Retained (M)507.81507.81507.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-594.07-371.29-222.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-86.26136.52285.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,283.393,283.393,283.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.040.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.040.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.84
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate5.02%6.02%7.02%
Fair Value$47.27$138.07$179.11
Upside / Downside422.34%1,425.60%1,879.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,970.353,149.153,338.713,539.693,752.763,978.654,098.01
Payout Ratio82.90%84.32%85.74%87.16%88.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,462.542,655.462,862.693,085.253,324.223,580.793,790.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate5.02%6.02%7.02%
Year 1 PV (M)2,466.932,490.422,513.91
Year 2 PV (M)2,470.622,517.902,565.62
Year 3 PV (M)2,473.642,544.982,617.68
Year 4 PV (M)2,476.012,571.682,670.08
Year 5 PV (M)2,477.752,597.982,722.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)72,311.8875,820.8679,464.75
Equity Value (M)84,676.8488,543.8192,554.88
Shares Outstanding (M)3,283.393,283.393,283.39
Fair Value$25.79$26.97$28.19
Upside / Downside184.97%197.98%211.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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