Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The First of Long Island Corporation (FLIC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.11 - $13.24$10.40
Multi-Stage$11.93 - $13.04$12.47
Blended Fair Value$11.44
Current Price$12.35
Upside-7.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.87%6.87%0.830.830.820.810.770.760.690.600.530.47
YoY Growth--0.02%1.76%1.81%4.82%1.00%10.68%13.73%13.45%12.26%10.51%
Dividend Yield--6.76%7.76%6.07%4.14%3.62%4.38%3.09%2.20%1.97%2.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.282.051.23
Cash Retained (M)2.192.192.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.28-2.05-1.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.090.140.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.6822.6822.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.010.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.630.630.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.010.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate1.04%2.04%3.04%
Fair Value$8.11$10.40$13.24
Upside / Downside-34.33%-15.77%7.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.4016.7317.0717.4217.7718.1418.68
Payout Ratio86.64%87.31%87.98%88.66%89.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.2114.6115.0215.4415.8816.3217.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate1.04%2.04%3.04%
Year 1 PV (M)13.3613.5013.63
Year 2 PV (M)12.5712.8213.07
Year 3 PV (M)11.8212.1812.54
Year 4 PV (M)11.1211.5712.03
Year 5 PV (M)10.4610.9811.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)211.18221.84232.92
Equity Value (M)270.51282.88295.72
Shares Outstanding (M)22.6822.6822.68
Fair Value$11.93$12.47$13.04
Upside / Downside-3.41%1.00%5.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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