Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

FFI Holdings Limited (FFI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food ConfectionersSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.20 - $153.08$143.45
Multi-Stage$25.40 - $27.84$26.59
Blended Fair Value$85.02
Current Price$4.18
Upside1,933.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-8.54%13.35%0.150.100.000.240.250.230.200.130.050.06
YoY Growth--46.92%0.00%-100.00%-3.91%8.79%15.54%57.24%136.99%-7.83%37.83%
Dividend Yield--3.50%2.42%0.00%5.52%3.44%4.71%4.54%2.96%1.33%1.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.681.050.63
Cash Retained (M)5.745.745.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.68-1.05-0.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.064.695.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.8310.8310.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.430.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.430.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate4.64%5.64%6.64%
Fair Value$47.20$143.45$153.08
Upside / Downside1,029.15%3,331.72%3,562.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8.408.889.389.9110.4611.0611.39
Payout Ratio31.68%43.35%55.01%66.67%78.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.663.855.166.608.209.9510.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate4.64%5.64%6.64%
Year 1 PV (M)3.593.633.66
Year 2 PV (M)4.504.594.68
Year 3 PV (M)5.395.545.70
Year 4 PV (M)6.256.496.74
Year 5 PV (M)7.087.437.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)248.20260.29272.85
Equity Value (M)275.01287.97301.41
Shares Outstanding (M)10.8310.8310.83
Fair Value$25.40$26.59$27.84
Upside / Downside507.62%536.24%565.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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