Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$100.91 - $467.85$226.55
Multi-Stage$52.49 - $57.44$54.92
Blended Fair Value$140.74
Current Price$20.26
Upside594.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.001.410.890.941.131.131.060.860.72
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%59.31%-5.28%-16.95%-0.04%6.43%23.22%19.21%4.85%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%7.41%4.39%6.02%17.03%7.30%8.23%4.90%4.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.3310.216.13
Cash Retained (M)67.0967.0967.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.33-10.21-6.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.7656.8860.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.7234.7234.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.461.641.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.461.641.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.882.062.18
WACC / Discount Rate7.47%7.47%7.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$100.91$226.55$467.85
Upside / Downside398.06%1,018.23%2,209.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81.6786.9892.6498.66105.07111.90115.26
Payout Ratio17.86%32.28%46.71%61.14%75.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.5828.0843.2760.3279.40100.71106.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.47%7.47%7.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25.8826.1326.38
Year 2 PV (M)36.7737.4738.18
Year 3 PV (M)47.2448.6049.98
Year 4 PV (M)57.3259.5361.80
Year 5 PV (M)67.0270.2673.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,588.011,664.711,744.35
Equity Value (M)1,822.251,906.691,994.29
Shares Outstanding (M)34.7234.7234.72
Fair Value$52.49$54.92$57.44
Upside / Downside159.07%171.08%183.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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