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Fidelity D & D Bancorp, Inc. (FDBC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$145.61 - $724.94$260.01
Multi-Stage$88.64 - $96.87$92.68
Blended Fair Value$176.34
Current Price$43.83
Upside302.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.99%15.54%1.531.171.341.140.930.700.590.510.530.49
YoY Growth--31.10%-12.44%16.66%22.87%33.22%18.84%15.00%-3.50%7.63%36.21%
Dividend Yield--3.68%2.49%2.92%2.47%1.51%1.37%0.99%1.04%1.93%2.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.223.261.96
Cash Retained (M)16.7716.7716.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.22-3.26-1.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.5613.5114.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.775.775.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.002.342.57
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.002.342.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.623.964.18
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$145.61$260.01$724.94
Upside / Downside232.21%493.22%1,553.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26.0927.7929.5931.5233.5735.7536.82
Payout Ratio35.71%46.57%57.43%68.28%79.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.3212.9417.0021.5226.5732.1734.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11.8611.9712.08
Year 2 PV (M)14.2714.5414.81
Year 3 PV (M)16.5517.0317.51
Year 4 PV (M)18.7219.4420.18
Year 5 PV (M)20.7721.7822.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)429.48450.23471.77
Equity Value (M)511.65534.98559.17
Shares Outstanding (M)5.775.775.77
Fair Value$88.64$92.68$96.87
Upside / Downside102.23%111.45%121.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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