Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fortress Capital Acquisition Corp. (FCAX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.96 - $12.61$10.08
Multi-Stage$19.93 - $21.99$20.94
Blended Fair Value$15.51
Current Price$9.95
Upside55.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.954.972.98
Cash Retained (M)37.3037.3037.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.95-4.97-2.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.3632.3434.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.0050.0050.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.650.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.650.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.73
WACC / Discount Rate5.83%5.83%5.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.96$10.08$12.61
Upside / Downside-20.03%1.30%26.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.7339.3338.9438.5538.1637.7838.91
Payout Ratio6.11%22.89%39.66%56.44%73.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.439.0015.4421.7627.9434.0035.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.83%5.83%5.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.428.518.59
Year 2 PV (M)13.5113.7914.07
Year 3 PV (M)17.8118.3618.92
Year 4 PV (M)21.3922.2823.19
Year 5 PV (M)24.3525.6126.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)911.11958.561,007.96
Equity Value (M)996.591,047.101,099.66
Shares Outstanding (M)50.0050.0050.00
Fair Value$19.93$20.94$21.99
Upside / Downside100.32%110.47%121.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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