Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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FB Financial Corporation (FBK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.20 - $133.60$76.83
Multi-Stage$34.65 - $37.84$36.21
Blended Fair Value$56.52
Current Price$53.30
Upside6.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.90%7.91%0.660.580.510.430.290.210.130.001.430.52
YoY Growth--13.27%14.50%17.43%47.18%41.13%63.68%0.00%-100.00%173.37%70.71%
Dividend Yield--1.41%1.57%1.63%0.97%0.66%1.05%0.39%0.00%4.04%2.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)103.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.7112.947.76
Cash Retained (M)70.1070.1070.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.71-12.94-7.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.3957.1662.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.5148.5148.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.021.181.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.690.690.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.021.181.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.711.871.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$50.20$76.83$133.60
Upside / Downside-5.82%44.15%150.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)103.53110.26117.43125.06133.19141.85146.10
Payout Ratio32.29%43.83%55.38%66.92%78.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.4348.3365.0383.69104.50127.66135.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)43.8944.3044.72
Year 2 PV (M)53.6254.6455.67
Year 3 PV (M)62.6664.4666.30
Year 4 PV (M)71.0673.7976.60
Year 5 PV (M)78.8382.6386.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,370.531,436.731,505.46
Equity Value (M)1,680.591,756.571,835.34
Shares Outstanding (M)48.5148.5148.51
Fair Value$34.65$36.21$37.84
Upside / Downside-35.00%-32.06%-29.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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