Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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First Business Financial Services, Inc. (FBIZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$216.20 - $1,256.39$401.50
Multi-Stage$125.85 - $137.67$131.65
Blended Fair Value$266.58
Current Price$51.26
Upside420.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.79%9.37%1.020.930.820.760.690.640.600.560.510.47
YoY Growth--9.79%13.31%8.47%9.09%8.36%6.10%8.33%8.67%9.43%12.37%
Dividend Yield--2.17%2.58%2.69%2.31%2.81%4.14%2.92%2.22%1.98%2.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.286.433.86
Cash Retained (M)42.0542.0542.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.28-6.43-3.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.7735.6338.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.148.148.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.904.384.69
LTM Dividend per Share1.151.151.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.904.384.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.055.535.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$216.20$401.50$1,256.39
Upside / Downside321.76%683.26%2,351.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51.4054.7458.3062.0966.1370.4272.54
Payout Ratio18.19%32.55%46.91%61.28%75.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.3517.8227.3538.0550.0263.3867.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.3516.5016.66
Year 2 PV (M)23.0223.4623.91
Year 3 PV (M)29.3930.2331.09
Year 4 PV (M)35.4536.8138.21
Year 5 PV (M)41.2143.2045.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)878.50920.93964.99
Equity Value (M)1,023.921,071.141,120.12
Shares Outstanding (M)8.148.148.14
Fair Value$125.85$131.65$137.67
Upside / Downside145.50%156.83%168.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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