Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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First American Financial Corporation (FAF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - SpecialtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.11 - $74.29$59.55
Multi-Stage$66.70 - $73.05$69.81
Blended Fair Value$64.68
Current Price$64.24
Upside0.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.21%9.39%2.122.082.092.051.911.811.721.531.261.04
YoY Growth--1.89%-0.18%1.88%7.22%5.43%5.58%12.06%21.09%21.21%20.66%
Dividend Yield--3.23%3.48%3.75%3.16%3.37%4.27%3.18%2.61%3.22%2.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)482.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)222.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)259.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)96.4660.2936.17
Cash Retained (M)259.80259.80259.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-96.46-60.29-36.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)163.34199.51223.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.05104.05104.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.571.922.15
LTM Dividend per Share2.142.142.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.571.922.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.714.064.29
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate0.72%1.72%2.72%
Fair Value$47.11$59.55$74.29
Upside / Downside-26.66%-7.30%15.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)482.30490.62499.08507.69516.44525.35541.11
Payout Ratio46.13%54.91%63.68%72.45%81.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)222.50269.38317.81367.84419.49472.81500.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate0.72%1.72%2.72%
Year 1 PV (M)245.49247.93250.37
Year 2 PV (M)263.94269.21274.53
Year 3 PV (M)278.39286.77295.31
Year 4 PV (M)289.33300.99313.00
Year 5 PV (M)297.19312.24327.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,565.315,847.116,140.22
Equity Value (M)6,939.657,264.247,601.30
Shares Outstanding (M)104.05104.05104.05
Fair Value$66.70$69.81$73.05
Upside / Downside3.82%8.68%13.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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