Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

GuocoLand Limited (F17.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.61 - $23.99$22.48
Multi-Stage$7.84 - $8.62$8.22
Blended Fair Value$15.35
Current Price$1.50
Upside923.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.01%1.85%0.060.060.060.060.060.070.070.070.090.05
YoY Growth--0.14%0.01%0.00%0.00%-14.29%0.00%0.00%-22.22%80.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.99%3.76%3.91%3.78%3.73%4.77%3.47%3.67%3.95%2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)137.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.4917.1810.31
Cash Retained (M)70.7570.7570.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.49-17.18-10.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.2653.5760.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,114.381,114.381,114.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate4.49%4.49%4.49%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Fair Value$7.61$22.48$23.99
Upside / Downside407.01%1,398.51%1,499.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)137.43143.14149.07155.26161.70168.41173.46
Payout Ratio48.52%56.82%65.11%73.41%81.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.6881.3297.07113.97132.12151.57160.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.49%4.49%4.49%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Year 1 PV (M)77.0877.8378.58
Year 2 PV (M)87.2188.9190.62
Year 3 PV (M)97.0699.91102.82
Year 4 PV (M)106.65110.84115.16
Year 5 PV (M)115.97121.70127.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,254.298,662.249,086.16
Equity Value (M)8,738.269,161.439,600.99
Shares Outstanding (M)1,114.381,114.381,114.38
Fair Value$7.84$8.22$8.62
Upside / Downside422.76%448.07%474.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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