Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Eaton Vance Short Duration Diversified Income Fund (EVG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.12 - $19.97$17.01
Multi-Stage$38.87 - $42.84$40.82
Blended Fair Value$28.91
Current Price$10.96
Upside163.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.45%-4.66%0.940.981.181.331.201.121.131.311.441.46
YoY Growth---3.89%-17.16%-11.65%10.74%7.70%-1.06%-13.85%-8.77%-1.78%-3.20%
Dividend Yield--8.40%9.80%11.06%9.84%10.15%8.46%8.89%9.24%10.75%10.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.073.792.28
Cash Retained (M)8.618.618.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.07-3.79-2.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.544.826.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.4513.4513.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.360.47
LTM Dividend per Share1.621.621.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.360.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.811.982.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.64%6.64%6.64%
Growth Rate-5.45%-4.45%-3.45%
Fair Value$14.12$17.01$19.97
Upside / Downside28.82%55.22%82.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.3529.0027.7126.4825.3024.1724.90
Payout Ratio71.62%75.30%78.97%82.65%86.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.7421.8421.8821.8821.8421.7623.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.64%6.64%6.64%
Growth Rate-5.45%-4.45%-3.45%
Year 1 PV (M)20.2620.4820.69
Year 2 PV (M)18.8419.2419.65
Year 3 PV (M)17.4818.0418.62
Year 4 PV (M)16.1916.8917.60
Year 5 PV (M)14.9615.7716.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)434.92458.41482.91
Equity Value (M)522.66548.84576.08
Shares Outstanding (M)13.4513.4513.45
Fair Value$38.87$40.82$42.84
Upside / Downside254.65%272.41%290.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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