Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

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Element Solutions Inc (ESI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.97 - $19.96$15.49
Multi-Stage$12.18 - $13.31$12.73
Blended Fair Value$14.11
Current Price$25.17
Upside-43.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.320.320.320.260.050.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.03%-1.28%26.66%399.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.43%1.28%1.67%1.17%0.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)239.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)161.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.8829.9317.96
Cash Retained (M)161.60161.60161.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.88-29.93-17.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.72131.68143.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)242.55242.55242.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.470.540.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.470.540.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.790.860.91
WACC / Discount Rate10.19%10.19%10.19%
Growth Rate3.37%4.37%5.37%
Fair Value$11.97$15.49$19.96
Upside / Downside-52.44%-38.45%-20.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)239.40249.87260.80272.20284.11296.54305.43
Payout Ratio32.50%44.00%55.50%67.00%78.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.80109.94144.74182.37223.02266.88282.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.19%10.19%10.19%
Growth Rate3.37%4.37%5.37%
Year 1 PV (M)98.8199.77100.73
Year 2 PV (M)116.93119.20121.50
Year 3 PV (M)132.42136.30140.26
Year 4 PV (M)145.55151.27157.15
Year 5 PV (M)156.55164.27172.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,304.162,417.792,535.85
Equity Value (M)2,954.433,088.603,227.78
Shares Outstanding (M)242.55242.55242.55
Fair Value$12.18$12.73$13.31
Upside / Downside-51.61%-49.41%-47.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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