Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Embellence Group AB (publ) (EMBELL.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.51 - $55.19$42.39
Multi-Stage$128.36 - $141.67$134.88
Blended Fair Value$88.63
Current Price$37.40
Upside136.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.770.770.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.24%3.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.808.004.80
Cash Retained (M)35.0035.0035.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.80-8.00-4.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.2027.0030.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.5423.5423.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.941.151.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.231.231.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.941.151.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.182.382.52
WACC / Discount Rate4.56%4.56%4.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$32.51$42.39$55.19
Upside / Downside-13.07%13.33%47.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.0063.3662.7362.1061.4860.8662.69
Payout Ratio45.31%54.25%63.19%72.13%81.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.0034.3739.6444.7949.8454.7857.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.56%4.56%4.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)32.5432.8733.21
Year 2 PV (M)35.5336.2636.99
Year 3 PV (M)38.0139.1840.38
Year 4 PV (M)40.0441.7043.41
Year 5 PV (M)41.6743.8446.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,833.552,981.103,134.73
Equity Value (M)3,021.343,174.953,334.82
Shares Outstanding (M)23.5423.5423.54
Fair Value$128.36$134.88$141.67
Upside / Downside243.20%260.65%278.81%

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