Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Encompass Health Corporation (EHC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64.17 - $108.05$83.37
Multi-Stage$88.75 - $97.46$93.02
Blended Fair Value$88.20
Current Price$127.02
Upside-30.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.39%-0.47%0.610.590.971.101.091.060.990.900.820.76
YoY Growth--3.97%-38.99%-11.76%0.27%2.94%7.84%10.16%9.19%8.55%17.33%
Dividend Yield--0.61%0.71%1.79%1.94%1.68%2.09%2.12%1.97%2.41%2.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)541.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)471.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.2067.6340.58
Cash Retained (M)471.90471.90471.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.20-67.63-40.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)363.70404.28431.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)102.23102.23102.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.563.954.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.680.680.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.563.954.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.234.634.90
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate1.13%2.13%3.13%
Fair Value$64.17$83.37$108.05
Upside / Downside-49.48%-34.36%-14.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)541.00552.54564.33576.37588.67601.23619.27
Payout Ratio12.77%28.22%43.66%59.11%74.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.10155.92246.41340.69438.88541.11572.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate1.13%2.13%3.13%
Year 1 PV (M)143.21144.63146.04
Year 2 PV (M)207.88212.01216.19
Year 3 PV (M)264.00271.91279.97
Year 4 PV (M)312.38324.91337.83
Year 5 PV (M)353.75371.59390.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,791.288,184.178,592.75
Equity Value (M)9,072.509,509.229,962.92
Shares Outstanding (M)102.23102.23102.23
Fair Value$88.75$93.02$97.46
Upside / Downside-30.13%-26.77%-23.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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