Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Electricity Generating Authority Of Thailand- North Bangkok Power Plant Block 1 Infrastructure Fund (EGATIF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.34 - $3.14$2.75
Multi-Stage$4.04 - $4.45$4.24
Blended Fair Value$3.50
Current Price$5.85
Upside-40.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-13.98%0.00%0.370.350.230.620.840.790.780.720.520.11
YoY Growth--4.67%54.16%-62.93%-25.99%6.35%0.38%8.82%39.81%368.18%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.28%6.00%3.45%5.58%6.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,056.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)236.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)820.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)211.36132.1079.26
Cash Retained (M)820.51820.51820.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-211.36-132.10-79.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)609.15688.41741.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,085.502,085.502,085.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.440.47
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-6.27%-5.27%-4.27%
Fair Value$2.34$2.75$3.14
Upside / Downside-60.08%-52.98%-46.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,056.791,001.09948.33898.34850.99806.14830.32
Payout Ratio22.36%35.89%49.42%62.94%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)236.28359.26468.62565.45650.77725.52768.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-6.27%-5.27%-4.27%
Year 1 PV (M)323.15326.60330.05
Year 2 PV (M)379.16387.29395.51
Year 3 PV (M)411.52424.83438.43
Year 4 PV (M)426.02444.49463.56
Year 5 PV (M)427.22450.50474.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,461.216,813.327,180.61
Equity Value (M)8,428.288,847.039,282.95
Shares Outstanding (M)2,085.502,085.502,085.50
Fair Value$4.04$4.24$4.45
Upside / Downside-30.92%-27.48%-23.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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