Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

eBay Inc. (EBAY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.16 - $64.61$52.63
Multi-Stage$59.64 - $65.42$62.48
Blended Fair Value$57.56
Current Price$90.95
Upside-36.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.42%0.00%1.111.101.020.970.930.990.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.95%7.98%4.94%4.25%-5.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.65%2.11%2.30%1.70%1.53%3.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,182.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)528.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,654.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)436.40272.75163.65
Cash Retained (M)1,654.001,654.001,654.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-436.40-272.75-163.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,217.601,381.251,490.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)478.25478.25478.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.552.893.12
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.552.893.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.653.994.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.90%8.90%8.90%
Growth Rate0.22%1.22%2.22%
Fair Value$42.16$52.63$64.61
Upside / Downside-53.65%-42.13%-28.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,182.002,208.712,235.752,263.122,290.832,318.872,388.44
Payout Ratio24.20%37.36%50.52%63.68%76.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)528.00825.141,129.481,441.141,760.262,086.992,209.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.90%8.90%8.90%
Growth Rate0.22%1.22%2.22%
Year 1 PV (M)750.21757.69765.18
Year 2 PV (M)933.65952.37971.28
Year 3 PV (M)1,083.091,115.841,149.23
Year 4 PV (M)1,202.791,251.521,301.71
Year 5 PV (M)1,296.541,362.521,431.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,255.9424,439.5225,670.81
Equity Value (M)28,522.2129,879.4631,289.37
Shares Outstanding (M)478.25478.25478.25
Fair Value$59.64$62.48$65.42
Upside / Downside-34.43%-31.31%-28.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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