Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Duke Energy Corporation 5.625% (DUKB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.51 - $222.10$152.97
Multi-Stage$162.37 - $178.06$170.07
Blended Fair Value$161.52
Current Price$24.99
Upside546.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.79%3.70%4.144.184.104.013.623.443.183.163.012.90
YoY Growth---0.96%2.04%2.09%10.74%5.40%7.97%0.86%5.06%3.46%0.90%
Dividend Yield--17.34%16.91%16.35%15.61%13.50%13.43%12.48%12.69%12.08%11.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,989.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,257.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,732.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)997.80623.63374.18
Cash Retained (M)1,732.001,732.001,732.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-997.80-623.63-374.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)734.201,108.381,357.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)776.00776.00776.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.951.431.75
LTM Dividend per Share4.204.204.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.951.431.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.145.635.95
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate1.70%2.70%3.70%
Fair Value$109.51$152.97$222.10
Upside / Downside338.20%512.14%788.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,989.005,123.755,262.145,404.275,550.245,700.155,871.15
Payout Ratio65.28%70.23%75.17%80.11%85.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,257.003,598.253,955.564,329.554,720.855,130.135,430.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate1.70%2.70%3.70%
Year 1 PV (M)3,346.443,379.353,412.25
Year 2 PV (M)3,421.313,488.923,557.19
Year 3 PV (M)3,482.723,586.463,692.25
Year 4 PV (M)3,531.733,672.703,817.85
Year 5 PV (M)3,569.343,748.313,934.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)108,651.04114,098.81119,762.95
Equity Value (M)126,002.58131,974.55138,176.88
Shares Outstanding (M)776.00776.00776.00
Fair Value$162.37$170.07$178.06
Upside / Downside549.76%580.55%612.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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