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Definitive Analysis

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Dolby Laboratories, Inc. (DLB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.02 - $49.29$38.59
Multi-Stage$40.62 - $44.48$42.51
Blended Fair Value$40.55
Current Price$79.91
Upside-49.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.40%11.93%1.301.181.071.030.920.910.800.680.590.50
YoY Growth--10.49%10.80%3.34%12.22%0.67%14.30%17.14%15.94%17.90%17.99%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.50%1.24%1.46%1.04%0.96%1.17%1.12%0.95%1.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)255.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)126.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)128.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.0031.8819.13
Cash Retained (M)128.42128.42128.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.00-31.88-19.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)77.4296.54109.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.0997.0997.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.800.991.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.301.301.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.800.991.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.102.302.43
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate1.35%2.35%3.35%
Fair Value$30.02$38.59$49.29
Upside / Downside-62.44%-51.70%-38.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)255.02261.00267.13273.40279.82286.39294.98
Payout Ratio49.64%57.71%65.79%73.86%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)126.60150.64175.73201.93229.25257.75272.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate1.35%2.35%3.35%
Year 1 PV (M)137.55138.91140.27
Year 2 PV (M)146.53149.44152.37
Year 3 PV (M)153.75158.34163.03
Year 4 PV (M)159.39165.78172.35
Year 5 PV (M)163.64171.87180.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,183.163,343.333,509.88
Equity Value (M)3,944.024,127.674,318.34
Shares Outstanding (M)97.0997.0997.09
Fair Value$40.62$42.51$44.48
Upside / Downside-49.17%-46.80%-44.34%

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