Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Dream Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust (DIR-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.59 - $148.33$103.00
Multi-Stage$18.59 - $20.31$19.43
Blended Fair Value$61.22
Current Price$11.79
Upside419.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.52%14.81%0.480.460.470.360.330.190.150.120.120.13
YoY Growth--4.36%-1.23%29.78%8.66%74.89%25.53%22.74%0.27%-2.29%3.63%
Dividend Yield--4.25%3.51%3.17%2.23%2.46%2.01%1.25%1.29%1.49%1.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)217.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)143.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)74.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.5127.2016.32
Cash Retained (M)74.0874.0874.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.51-27.20-16.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.5746.8957.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)291.70291.70291.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.160.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.160.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$37.59$103.00$148.33
Upside / Downside218.80%773.63%1,158.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)217.56231.70246.76262.80279.88298.08307.02
Payout Ratio65.95%70.76%75.57%80.38%85.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)143.48163.95186.48211.24238.43268.27283.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)151.54152.97154.41
Year 2 PV (M)159.31162.35165.41
Year 3 PV (M)166.80171.59176.47
Year 4 PV (M)174.02180.72187.60
Year 5 PV (M)180.98189.72198.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,589.074,810.725,040.86
Equity Value (M)5,421.725,668.075,923.54
Shares Outstanding (M)291.70291.70291.70
Fair Value$18.59$19.43$20.31
Upside / Downside57.65%64.81%72.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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