Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$193.61 - $656.15$317.32
Multi-Stage$627.65 - $691.93$659.16
Blended Fair Value$488.24
Current Price$162.01
Upside201.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.811.521.370.000.000.003.030.000.000.00
YoY Growth--18.94%11.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.91%1.22%3.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%8.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,210.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,424.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,786.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,042.00651.25390.75
Cash Retained (M)3,786.003,786.003,786.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,042.00-651.25-390.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,744.003,134.753,395.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)704.76704.76704.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.894.454.82
LTM Dividend per Share2.022.022.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.894.454.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.916.476.84
WACC / Discount Rate3.48%3.48%3.48%
Growth Rate0.42%1.42%2.42%
Fair Value$193.61$317.32$656.15
Upside / Downside19.51%95.87%305.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,210.005,283.765,358.575,434.445,511.385,589.415,757.10
Payout Ratio27.33%39.87%52.40%64.93%77.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,424.002,106.412,807.853,528.744,269.475,030.475,325.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.48%3.48%3.48%
Growth Rate0.42%1.42%2.42%
Year 1 PV (M)2,015.442,035.512,055.58
Year 2 PV (M)2,570.562,622.012,673.98
Year 3 PV (M)3,091.003,184.273,279.40
Year 4 PV (M)3,578.343,723.023,872.05
Year 5 PV (M)4,034.064,238.974,452.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)427,050.31448,742.16471,306.66
Equity Value (M)442,339.70464,545.94487,639.78
Shares Outstanding (M)704.76704.76704.76
Fair Value$627.65$659.16$691.93
Upside / Downside287.41%306.86%327.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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