Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A. Empreendimentos e Participações (CYRE3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$70.05 - $126.79$93.71
Multi-Stage$103.44 - $113.67$108.46
Blended Fair Value$101.08
Current Price$30.70
Upside229.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-22.47%2.75%0.610.860.070.551.642.181.170.100.290.43
YoY Growth---29.45%1,166.78%-87.54%-66.52%-24.88%85.76%1,096.24%-66.30%-32.06%-8.01%
Dividend Yield--2.55%3.53%0.48%3.10%6.52%14.94%6.90%0.59%2.03%3.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,821.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)223.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,597.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)364.24227.65136.59
Cash Retained (M)1,597.441,597.441,597.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-364.24-227.65-136.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,233.201,369.791,460.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)366.77366.77366.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.363.733.98
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.363.733.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.974.344.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.93%6.93%6.93%
Growth Rate1.19%2.19%3.19%
Fair Value$70.05$93.71$126.79
Upside / Downside128.18%205.24%313.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,821.191,861.101,901.901,943.581,986.192,029.722,090.61
Payout Ratio12.29%27.83%43.37%58.91%74.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)223.75517.92824.881,145.051,478.861,826.751,933.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.93%6.93%6.93%
Growth Rate1.19%2.19%3.19%
Year 1 PV (M)479.61484.35489.09
Year 2 PV (M)707.38721.43735.61
Year 3 PV (M)909.31936.54964.30
Year 4 PV (M)1,087.541,131.171,176.10
Year 5 PV (M)1,244.021,306.711,371.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,509.4435,198.2336,954.43
Equity Value (M)37,937.3039,778.4341,691.45
Shares Outstanding (M)366.77366.77366.77
Fair Value$103.44$108.46$113.67
Upside / Downside236.93%253.28%270.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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