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Community Trust Bancorp, Inc. (CTBI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$153.92 - $620.15$262.99
Multi-Stage$103.55 - $113.21$108.29
Blended Fair Value$185.64
Current Price$52.92
Upside250.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.95%4.97%1.851.791.661.551.511.461.351.271.231.18
YoY Growth--3.79%7.51%7.24%2.85%3.46%7.54%6.15%3.56%4.03%3.69%
Dividend Yield--3.68%4.28%4.38%3.76%3.42%4.58%3.25%2.82%2.69%3.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.6611.667.00
Cash Retained (M)58.3858.3858.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.66-11.66-7.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.7246.7251.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.0318.0318.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.202.592.85
LTM Dividend per Share1.941.941.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.202.592.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.144.534.79
WACC / Discount Rate7.95%7.95%7.95%
Growth Rate5.12%6.12%7.12%
Fair Value$153.92$262.99$620.15
Upside / Downside190.85%396.96%1,071.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.2898.99105.05111.48118.31125.55129.32
Payout Ratio37.41%47.93%58.45%68.96%79.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.9047.4461.4076.8894.03113.00119.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.95%7.95%7.95%
Growth Rate5.12%6.12%7.12%
Year 1 PV (M)43.5443.9544.36
Year 2 PV (M)51.7052.6953.68
Year 3 PV (M)59.4061.1262.86
Year 4 PV (M)66.6769.2571.89
Year 5 PV (M)73.5277.0880.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,572.161,648.381,727.52
Equity Value (M)1,866.991,952.462,041.10
Shares Outstanding (M)18.0318.0318.03
Fair Value$103.55$108.29$113.21
Upside / Downside95.67%104.63%113.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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