Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Carsurin Tbk (CRSN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64.62 - $92.32$78.21
Multi-Stage$100.90 - $110.80$105.75
Blended Fair Value$91.98
Current Price$105.00
Upside-12.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%2.350.003.720.730.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%411.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27,376.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,796.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,580.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,475.373,422.102,053.26
Cash Retained (M)20,580.6320,580.6320,580.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,475.37-3,422.10-2,053.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,105.2617,158.5318,527.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.002,892.002,892.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.225.936.41
LTM Dividend per Share2.352.352.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.225.936.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.578.288.76
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$64.62$78.21$92.32
Upside / Downside-38.46%-25.51%-12.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27,376.8327,103.0626,832.0326,563.7126,298.0726,035.0926,816.14
Payout Ratio24.82%37.86%50.89%63.93%76.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,796.2010,261.1413,656.1016,982.1420,240.2923,431.5824,804.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,277.549,372.219,466.88
Year 2 PV (M)11,163.5211,392.5111,623.82
Year 3 PV (M)12,551.7312,939.9013,336.00
Year 4 PV (M)13,525.8714,086.4514,664.28
Year 5 PV (M)14,157.5214,894.7315,662.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)231,114.66243,149.33255,680.21
Equity Value (M)291,790.83305,835.13320,433.53
Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.002,892.002,892.00
Fair Value$100.90$105.75$110.80
Upside / Downside-3.91%0.72%5.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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