Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust (CRR-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.79 - $23.48$17.20
Multi-Stage$21.70 - $23.80$22.73
Blended Fair Value$19.97
Current Price$14.87
Upside34.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.670.660.670.740.760.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.08%-1.29%-8.80%-3.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.71%4.85%4.41%4.02%4.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)124.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.6320.3912.24
Cash Retained (M)39.1139.1139.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.63-20.39-12.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.4818.7126.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)184.07184.07184.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.100.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.100.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Fair Value$12.79$17.20$23.48
Upside / Downside-13.99%15.70%57.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163.14166.22169.36172.56175.82179.14184.51
Payout Ratio76.03%78.82%81.62%84.41%87.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)124.03131.02138.23145.66153.32161.22170.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Year 1 PV (M)121.84123.05124.25
Year 2 PV (M)119.53121.91124.32
Year 3 PV (M)117.13120.65124.24
Year 4 PV (M)114.65119.27124.02
Year 5 PV (M)112.11117.78123.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,409.233,581.573,760.81
Equity Value (M)3,994.494,184.224,381.31
Shares Outstanding (M)184.07184.07184.07
Fair Value$21.70$22.73$23.80
Upside / Downside45.94%52.87%60.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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