Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria (CRES.BA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29,305.91 - $58,315.03$54,649.72
Multi-Stage$9,183.63 - $10,043.56$9,605.73
Blended Fair Value$32,127.72
Current Price$1,413.00
Upside2,173.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS102.75%119.29%141.64200.21263.98107.8718.894.130.751.527.360.39
YoY Growth---29.26%-24.16%144.72%471.13%356.86%447.64%-50.43%-79.30%1,800.42%602.94%
Dividend Yield--10.02%18.62%47.96%65.55%20.55%10.66%2.16%3.10%25.10%1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)181,002.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)121,662.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)59,340.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36,200.4022,625.2513,575.15
Cash Retained (M)59,340.0059,340.0059,340.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-36,200.40-22,625.25-13,575.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)23,139.6036,714.7545,764.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)617.28617.28617.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share37.4959.4874.14
LTM Dividend per Share197.09197.09197.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share37.4959.4874.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend234.58256.57271.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$29,305.91$54,649.72$58,315.03
Upside / Downside1,974.02%3,767.64%4,027.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)181,002.00192,767.13205,296.99218,641.30232,852.98247,988.43255,428.08
Payout Ratio67.22%71.77%76.33%80.89%85.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)121,662.00138,354.11156,702.17176,850.93198,956.96223,189.58236,270.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)128,878.35130,099.95131,321.54
Year 2 PV (M)135,972.42138,562.31141,176.64
Year 3 PV (M)142,945.70147,049.15151,230.40
Year 4 PV (M)149,799.65155,560.52161,485.98
Year 5 PV (M)156,535.73164,096.47171,946.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,954,750.845,194,067.165,442,542.68
Equity Value (M)5,668,882.705,929,435.576,199,703.81
Shares Outstanding (M)617.28617.28617.28
Fair Value$9,183.63$9,605.73$10,043.56
Upside / Downside549.94%579.81%610.80%

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