Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Crawford & Company (CRD-A)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.14 - $9.48$7.69
Multi-Stage$9.92 - $10.88$10.39
Blended Fair Value$9.04
Current Price$10.70
Upside-15.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.87%1.62%0.280.250.240.250.190.260.270.270.270.27
YoY Growth--8.30%7.25%-6.48%31.29%-26.77%-2.64%-1.26%1.00%0.40%15.31%
Dividend Yield--2.41%2.82%2.84%3.35%1.81%3.66%2.98%3.42%3.34%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.524.072.44
Cash Retained (M)18.5218.5218.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.52-4.07-2.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.0014.4516.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.9449.9449.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.09%8.09%8.09%
Growth Rate-0.38%0.62%1.62%
Fair Value$6.14$7.69$9.48
Upside / Downside-42.63%-28.14%-11.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.6032.8033.0033.2033.4133.6134.62
Payout Ratio43.18%52.54%61.91%71.27%80.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0717.2320.4323.6626.9430.2532.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.09%8.09%8.09%
Growth Rate-0.38%0.62%1.62%
Year 1 PV (M)15.7815.9416.10
Year 2 PV (M)17.1417.4817.83
Year 3 PV (M)18.1818.7419.30
Year 4 PV (M)18.9619.7320.53
Year 5 PV (M)19.5020.5021.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)405.55426.32447.93
Equity Value (M)495.12518.72543.24
Shares Outstanding (M)49.9449.9449.94
Fair Value$9.92$10.39$10.88
Upside / Downside-7.33%-2.92%1.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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