Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Colorpak Indonesia Tbk (CLPI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,023.78 - $5,486.79$4,048.93
Multi-Stage$5,167.81 - $5,671.14$5,414.67
Blended Fair Value$4,731.80
Current Price$1,280.00
Upside269.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.41%18.61%128.2861.4071.2389.4256.5755.1163.89102.9039.4163.03
YoY Growth--108.92%-13.79%-20.34%58.07%2.65%-13.75%-37.90%161.12%-37.48%170.66%
Dividend Yield--12.22%6.11%7.54%8.60%6.94%11.43%9.33%11.06%3.57%7.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)65,613.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42,648.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)22,965.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,122.658,201.664,921.00
Cash Retained (M)22,965.0122,965.0122,965.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,122.65-8,201.66-4,921.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,842.3514,763.3518,044.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)306.26306.26306.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share32.1448.2058.92
LTM Dividend per Share139.25139.25139.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share32.1448.2058.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend171.39187.46198.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate0.77%1.77%2.77%
Fair Value$3,023.78$4,048.93$5,486.79
Upside / Downside136.23%216.32%328.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)65,613.2766,777.4167,962.2069,168.0270,395.2371,644.2173,793.53
Payout Ratio65.00%70.00%75.00%80.00%85.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42,648.2646,743.8950,971.4355,334.2659,835.8664,479.7968,259.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate0.77%1.77%2.77%
Year 1 PV (M)43,465.3543,896.6744,327.98
Year 2 PV (M)44,072.0744,951.0845,838.77
Year 3 PV (M)44,488.6445,826.2347,190.37
Year 4 PV (M)44,733.7146,535.9248,392.04
Year 5 PV (M)44,824.4847,093.0749,452.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,361,130.261,430,017.561,501,666.18
Equity Value (M)1,582,714.521,658,320.531,736,867.92
Shares Outstanding (M)306.26306.26306.26
Fair Value$5,167.81$5,414.67$5,671.14
Upside / Downside303.73%323.02%343.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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