Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cloetta AB (publ) (CLA-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food ConfectionersSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.24 - $88.90$60.70
Multi-Stage$80.35 - $88.34$84.27
Blended Fair Value$72.49
Current Price$33.92
Upside113.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.14%0.00%1.001.001.010.750.501.011.520.760.500.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-0.70%33.49%50.35%-50.17%-33.72%100.46%50.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.52%5.49%4.60%2.93%1.96%4.28%6.24%2.38%1.43%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)716.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)313.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)403.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)143.2089.5053.70
Cash Retained (M)403.00403.00403.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-143.20-89.50-53.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)259.80313.50349.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)285.18285.18285.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.911.101.22
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.911.101.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.012.202.32
WACC / Discount Rate5.63%5.63%5.63%
Growth Rate0.94%1.94%2.94%
Fair Value$43.24$60.70$88.90
Upside / Downside27.46%78.96%162.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)716.00729.87744.00758.41773.10788.07811.71
Payout Ratio43.72%52.97%62.23%71.49%80.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)313.00386.63462.98542.16624.22709.26750.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.63%5.63%5.63%
Growth Rate0.94%1.94%2.94%
Year 1 PV (M)362.44366.03369.62
Year 2 PV (M)406.88414.98423.16
Year 3 PV (M)446.65460.06473.74
Year 4 PV (M)482.10501.49521.46
Year 5 PV (M)513.51539.46566.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,703.5421,749.6422,837.60
Equity Value (M)22,915.1324,031.6625,192.02
Shares Outstanding (M)285.18285.18285.18
Fair Value$80.35$84.27$88.34
Upside / Downside136.89%148.43%160.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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