Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sisecam Resources LP (CINR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.07 - $15.61$13.32
Multi-Stage$25.00 - $27.60$26.27
Blended Fair Value$19.79
Current Price$16.50
Upside19.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS-21.70%-3.97%0.340.691.612.302.291.171.121.083.681.54
YoY Growth---50.36%-56.92%-30.11%0.22%96.54%4.52%3.76%-70.78%138.91%199.15%
Dividend Yield--2.08%5.38%15.50%9.13%8.22%4.09%4.32%4.45%15.21%6.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.084.432.66
Cash Retained (M)28.6028.6028.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.08-4.43-2.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.5224.1825.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.8019.8019.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.091.221.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.091.221.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.431.561.65
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-4.94%-3.94%-2.94%
Fair Value$11.07$13.32$15.61
Upside / Downside-32.93%-19.30%-5.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.4034.0132.6731.3830.1528.9629.83
Payout Ratio19.21%33.37%47.53%61.68%75.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.8011.3515.5319.3622.8626.0627.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-4.94%-3.94%-2.94%
Year 1 PV (M)10.4610.5710.68
Year 2 PV (M)13.1913.4713.75
Year 3 PV (M)15.1615.6516.14
Year 4 PV (M)16.5117.2217.94
Year 5 PV (M)17.3518.2819.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)422.32445.01468.66
Equity Value (M)495.00520.20546.43
Shares Outstanding (M)19.8019.8019.80
Fair Value$25.00$26.27$27.60
Upside / Downside51.52%59.23%67.26%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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