Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$124.74 - $256.54$175.13
Multi-Stage$91.88 - $100.35$96.04
Blended Fair Value$135.58
Current Price$63.37
Upside113.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.060.950.840.490.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.47%12.86%71.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.58%0.99%1.31%0.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)179.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.8826.8016.08
Cash Retained (M)179.95179.95179.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.88-26.80-16.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)137.07153.15163.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.9830.9830.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.424.945.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.424.945.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.546.066.40
WACC / Discount Rate10.18%10.18%10.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$124.74$175.13$256.54
Upside / Downside96.84%176.36%304.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214.38228.32243.16258.96275.80293.72302.53
Payout Ratio16.06%30.85%45.64%60.42%75.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.4370.43110.97156.48207.43264.35279.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.18%10.18%10.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)63.3363.9364.53
Year 2 PV (M)89.7091.4193.13
Year 3 PV (M)113.72116.98120.31
Year 4 PV (M)135.53140.74146.10
Year 5 PV (M)155.29162.79170.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,288.752,399.302,514.08
Equity Value (M)2,846.312,975.143,108.72
Shares Outstanding (M)30.9830.9830.98
Fair Value$91.88$96.04$100.35
Upside / Downside44.99%51.55%58.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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