Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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CNB Financial Corporation (CCNE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64.83 - $249.04$109.55
Multi-Stage$41.15 - $44.96$43.02
Blended Fair Value$76.29
Current Price$24.20
Upside215.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.56%4.59%0.690.680.590.540.510.480.480.470.440.44
YoY Growth--1.48%17.02%8.72%5.18%6.01%1.18%1.42%5.74%0.33%-0.06%
Dividend Yield--3.12%3.41%3.05%2.04%2.08%2.56%1.87%1.62%1.86%2.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.515.943.57
Cash Retained (M)30.8830.8830.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.51-5.94-3.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.3724.9427.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.4621.4621.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.001.161.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.001.161.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.771.942.05
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$64.83$109.55$249.04
Upside / Downside167.87%352.70%929.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47.5550.6453.9357.4361.1765.1467.10
Payout Ratio35.05%46.04%57.03%68.02%79.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.6623.3130.7539.0748.3358.6362.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)21.3121.5121.71
Year 2 PV (M)25.6926.1826.67
Year 3 PV (M)29.8330.6831.55
Year 4 PV (M)33.7235.0236.35
Year 5 PV (M)37.3939.2041.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)735.12770.63807.49
Equity Value (M)883.06923.22964.86
Shares Outstanding (M)21.4621.4621.46
Fair Value$41.15$43.02$44.96
Upside / Downside70.04%77.78%85.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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