Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BTB Real Estate Investment Trust (BTB-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.85 - $85.10$61.09
Multi-Stage$12.53 - $13.70$13.10
Blended Fair Value$37.10
Current Price$3.64
Upside919.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.16%7.29%0.260.250.240.210.210.240.220.180.160.14
YoY Growth--2.49%3.33%18.72%-4.43%-11.83%12.99%18.98%12.84%12.07%12.25%
Dividend Yield--7.59%7.84%6.81%4.81%5.09%7.71%4.50%4.00%3.37%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.624.762.86
Cash Retained (M)13.9513.9513.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.62-4.76-2.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.329.1811.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.5388.5388.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate4.83%5.83%6.83%
Fair Value$21.85$61.09$85.10
Upside / Downside500.27%1,578.36%2,237.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.1240.3442.6945.1847.8150.6052.12
Payout Ratio63.41%68.73%74.05%79.36%84.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.1727.7331.6135.8640.4945.5448.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate4.83%5.83%6.83%
Year 1 PV (M)25.7926.0426.28
Year 2 PV (M)27.3627.8828.41
Year 3 PV (M)28.8729.7030.55
Year 4 PV (M)30.3231.5032.70
Year 5 PV (M)31.7333.2734.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)964.811,011.711,060.42
Equity Value (M)1,108.871,160.101,213.24
Shares Outstanding (M)88.5388.5388.53
Fair Value$12.53$13.10$13.70
Upside / Downside244.11%260.00%276.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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