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Definitive Analysis

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Brookline Bancorp, Inc. (BRKL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.14 - $81.56$39.52
Multi-Stage$16.82 - $18.36$17.58
Blended Fair Value$28.55
Current Price$10.55
Upside170.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.48%7.25%0.540.540.450.420.410.390.350.300.280.28
YoY Growth--0.28%19.58%6.98%2.93%3.66%11.67%16.30%6.58%1.60%4.57%
Dividend Yield--4.93%5.52%4.26%2.65%2.71%3.48%2.39%1.86%1.81%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)78.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.769.855.91
Cash Retained (M)30.6930.6930.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.76-9.85-5.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.9320.8424.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)89.5089.5089.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.770.81
WACC / Discount Rate8.32%8.32%8.32%
Growth Rate5.25%6.25%7.25%
Fair Value$24.14$39.52$81.56
Upside / Downside128.82%274.64%673.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)78.8083.7388.9694.51100.41106.69109.89
Payout Ratio61.06%66.84%72.63%78.42%84.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.1155.9764.6174.1284.5696.02101.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.32%8.32%8.32%
Growth Rate5.25%6.25%7.25%
Year 1 PV (M)51.1851.6752.16
Year 2 PV (M)54.0455.0756.11
Year 3 PV (M)56.6958.3259.98
Year 4 PV (M)59.1561.4363.78
Year 5 PV (M)61.4264.4067.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,222.961,282.181,343.67
Equity Value (M)1,505.451,573.071,643.18
Shares Outstanding (M)89.5089.5089.50
Fair Value$16.82$17.58$18.36
Upside / Downside59.44%66.61%74.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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