Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Woori Finance Indonesia Tbk (BPFI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$395.40 - $702.00$524.90
Multi-Stage$680.34 - $746.50$712.79
Blended Fair Value$618.84
Current Price$320.00
Upside93.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.82%17.92%9.723.880.000.000.0011.220.0011.2211.220.00
YoY Growth--150.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.63%1.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.43%0.00%2.83%3.52%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)78,215.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52,445.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,769.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15,643.029,776.895,866.13
Cash Retained (M)25,769.6325,769.6325,769.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-15,643.02-9,776.89-5,866.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,126.6115,992.7419,903.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,674.002,674.002,674.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.795.987.44
LTM Dividend per Share19.6119.6119.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.795.987.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.4025.5927.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate0.64%1.64%2.64%
Fair Value$395.40$524.90$702.00
Upside / Downside23.56%64.03%119.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)78,215.1279,498.6780,803.2982,129.3183,477.1084,847.0187,392.42
Payout Ratio67.05%71.64%76.23%80.82%85.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52,445.4956,954.6861,597.7466,377.8671,298.2776,362.3180,837.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate0.64%1.64%2.64%
Year 1 PV (M)52,904.2153,429.8953,955.56
Year 2 PV (M)53,147.9554,209.3955,281.32
Year 3 PV (M)53,199.2954,800.9156,434.36
Year 4 PV (M)53,078.9755,220.2557,425.68
Year 5 PV (M)52,806.0155,482.1558,265.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,554,083.631,632,842.531,714,762.66
Equity Value (M)1,819,220.061,905,985.121,996,125.29
Shares Outstanding (M)2,674.002,674.002,674.00
Fair Value$680.34$712.79$746.50
Upside / Downside112.61%122.75%133.28%

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