Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$115.71 - $248.44$165.00
Multi-Stage$140.57 - $153.87$147.10
Blended Fair Value$156.05
Current Price$77.03
Upside102.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.32%4.66%4.314.174.354.113.693.663.563.353.052.89
YoY Growth--3.29%-4.13%5.94%11.16%0.99%2.63%6.47%9.88%5.53%5.64%
Dividend Yield--5.59%5.61%6.93%5.70%4.04%5.34%4.93%4.48%3.72%3.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,789.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,638.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,151.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,557.80973.63584.18
Cash Retained (M)2,151.002,151.002,151.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,557.80-973.63-584.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)593.201,177.381,566.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,246.501,246.501,246.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.941.26
LTM Dividend per Share4.524.524.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.941.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.005.475.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate2.66%3.66%4.66%
Fair Value$115.71$165.00$248.44
Upside / Downside50.22%114.20%222.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,789.008,073.788,368.978,674.968,992.139,320.909,600.52
Payout Ratio72.38%75.91%79.43%82.95%86.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,638.006,128.596,647.517,196.197,776.118,388.818,880.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate2.66%3.66%4.66%
Year 1 PV (M)5,667.575,722.785,777.99
Year 2 PV (M)5,685.035,796.325,908.70
Year 3 PV (M)5,691.315,859.266,030.48
Year 4 PV (M)5,687.335,912.206,143.67
Year 5 PV (M)5,673.925,955.716,248.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)146,818.67154,110.34161,688.89
Equity Value (M)175,223.83183,356.62191,798.32
Shares Outstanding (M)1,246.501,246.501,246.50
Fair Value$140.57$147.10$153.87
Upside / Downside82.49%90.96%99.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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