Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk (BNGA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,403.77 - $3,642.77$2,986.65
Multi-Stage$5,021.37 - $5,519.91$5,265.78
Blended Fair Value$4,126.21
Current Price$1,695.00
Upside143.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.85%0.00%123.55114.2493.3143.7055.3827.7023.680.000.000.00
YoY Growth--8.15%22.43%113.52%-21.09%99.88%16.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.29%5.34%7.35%3.92%5.57%4.50%2.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,961,315.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,965,061.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,996,254.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,392,263.00870,164.38522,098.63
Cash Retained (M)2,996,254.002,996,254.002,996,254.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,392,263.00-870,164.38-522,098.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,603,991.002,126,089.632,474,155.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25,139.5125,139.5125,139.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share63.8084.5798.42
LTM Dividend per Share157.72157.72157.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share63.8084.5798.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend221.53242.29256.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,403.77$2,986.65$3,642.77
Upside / Downside41.82%76.20%114.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,961,315.006,891,701.856,822,784.836,754,556.986,687,011.416,620,141.306,818,745.54
Payout Ratio56.96%63.57%70.18%76.78%83.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,965,061.004,380,834.654,787,896.315,186,378.665,576,412.575,958,127.176,307,339.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,051,691.424,093,035.214,134,379.00
Year 2 PV (M)4,095,469.904,179,477.354,264,337.67
Year 3 PV (M)4,103,011.404,229,899.814,359,377.69
Year 4 PV (M)4,080,119.674,249,221.564,423,526.14
Year 5 PV (M)4,031,876.984,241,826.174,460,431.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)105,872,509.18111,385,536.38117,125,869.39
Equity Value (M)126,234,678.56132,378,996.48138,767,921.59
Shares Outstanding (M)25,139.5125,139.5125,139.51
Fair Value$5,021.37$5,265.78$5,519.91
Upside / Downside196.25%210.67%225.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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