Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Keppel Corporation Limited (BN4.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.30 - $3.23$2.76
Multi-Stage$4.74 - $5.20$4.97
Blended Fair Value$3.86
Current Price$7.42
Upside-47.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.79%-2.24%0.330.320.350.190.150.230.290.200.300.48
YoY Growth--4.57%-9.59%86.04%26.61%-34.66%-20.57%44.73%-33.25%-37.57%14.36%
Dividend Yield--4.85%4.31%6.23%5.66%4.26%6.61%6.98%3.92%6.57%12.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)693.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)522.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)171.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.6586.6651.99
Cash Retained (M)171.20171.20171.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.65-86.66-51.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.5584.54119.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,833.511,833.511,833.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate8.34%8.34%8.34%
Growth Rate-4.24%-3.24%-2.24%
Fair Value$2.30$2.76$3.23
Upside / Downside-68.99%-62.77%-56.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)693.26670.78649.03627.98607.62587.92605.55
Payout Ratio75.31%78.24%81.18%84.12%87.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)522.06524.84526.90528.27529.00529.12560.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.34%8.34%8.34%
Growth Rate-4.24%-3.24%-2.24%
Year 1 PV (M)479.41484.42489.43
Year 2 PV (M)439.63448.86458.19
Year 3 PV (M)402.62415.37428.38
Year 4 PV (M)368.28383.91400.03
Year 5 PV (M)336.48354.42373.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,664.767,020.107,390.45
Equity Value (M)8,691.199,107.099,539.59
Shares Outstanding (M)1,833.511,833.511,833.51
Fair Value$4.74$4.97$5.20
Upside / Downside-36.12%-33.06%-29.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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