Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Banco Macro S.A. (BMA.BA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22,243.84 - $129,195.14$41,325.37
Multi-Stage$13,449.19 - $14,684.63$14,055.73
Blended Fair Value$27,690.55
Current Price$8,410.00
Upside229.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS92.90%0.00%730.260.2893.000.000.0027.3414.781.320.000.00
YoY Growth--259,773.57%-99.70%0.00%-100.00%-100.00%85.01%1,015.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.35%0.01%12.90%0.00%0.00%18.93%319.14%12.50%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)415,381.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)244,441.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)170,940.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)83,076.3651,922.7231,153.63
Cash Retained (M)170,940.74170,940.74170,940.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-83,076.36-51,922.72-31,153.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)87,864.38119,018.02139,787.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)639.41639.41639.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share137.41186.14218.62
LTM Dividend per Share382.29382.29382.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share137.41186.14218.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend519.70568.43600.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22,243.84$41,325.37$129,195.14
Upside / Downside164.49%391.38%1,436.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)415,381.79442,381.60471,136.41501,760.27534,374.69569,109.05586,182.32
Payout Ratio58.85%65.08%71.31%77.54%83.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)244,441.05287,892.46335,959.79389,059.54447,642.81512,198.14542,218.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)264,149.97266,653.76269,157.55
Year 2 PV (M)282,831.56288,218.70293,656.67
Year 3 PV (M)300,522.44309,149.36317,939.81
Year 4 PV (M)317,258.11329,458.96342,008.39
Year 5 PV (M)333,072.98349,160.53365,863.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,101,754.607,444,772.007,800,917.48
Equity Value (M)8,599,589.658,987,413.319,389,543.69
Shares Outstanding (M)639.41639.41639.41
Fair Value$13,449.19$14,055.73$14,684.63
Upside / Downside59.92%67.13%74.61%

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